How Many Electoral Votes Does it Take to Win the Presidency?
Answer: 270 Electoral Votes
The 2024 presidential election will be decided by the candidate who wins the most electoral votes. There are a total of 538 electoral votes, and a candidate needs to win at least 270 of them to win the presidency.
Electoral votes are awarded to states based on their population. The more populous a state is, the more electoral votes it has. For example, California has the most electoral votes (55), while Alaska has the fewest (3).
The winner of the popular vote in each state wins all of that state's electoral votes. So, for example, if Candidate A wins the popular vote in California, they will win all 55 of California's electoral votes.
It is possible for a candidate to win the presidency without winning the popular vote. This has happened five times in US history, most recently in 2016 when Donald Trump won the presidency despite losing the popular vote to Hillary Clinton.
Interactive Map
You can use this interactive map to create your own 2024 election forecast. Simply click on the states that you think will be won by each candidate, and the map will show you who is projected to win the election.
Decision Desk HQ and The Hill's Ultimate 2024 Presidential Forecast
According to Decision Desk HQ and The Hill's ultimate 2024 presidential forecast, Joe Biden is currently the favorite to win the election, with a 60% chance of victory. Donald Trump is the second favorite, with a 40% chance of victory.
538's 2024 Presidential Election Forecast Model
538's 2024 presidential election forecast model shows that Joe Biden has a 70% chance of winning the election, while Donald Trump has a 30% chance of victory.
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